Sizzling heatwaves 'for next four years'

15 Agosto, 2018, 10:50 | Author: Enrique Watson
  • The Dave Johnson coal-fired power plant is silhouetted against the morning sun in Glenrock Wyo. on July 27

Both average ground and sea surface temperatures could be abnormally high, which may in turn increase the likelihood of tropical storms.

On the heels of this year's heatwave, the forecast suggests that we should ready ourselves for an elevated chance of "extreme warm events" until at least 2022, and possibly longer.

The research was carried out before the summer heatwaves that sent temperatures around the world soaring this year. Their paper, reported in the journal "Nature Communications", was received for publication in January.

Procast takes information from previous weather changes and adds it to a system to calculate the probability of them occurring in the future.

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A new, statistical forecasting method has suggested that over the next four years temperature rises attributable to cyclical natural effects could eclipse the long-term global warming trend.

The scientists, led by Dr Florian Sevellec, from the University of Brest in France, wrote: "For 2018-2022, the probabilistic forecast indicates a warmer than normal period, with respect to the forced trend (of global warming)".

'The coming warm period is associated with an increased likelihood of intense to extreme temperatures'.

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